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Market insights · Virginia

Caroline County, VA: growth, migration and housing

Caroline County has 34,413 residents, up 11.3% since 2020 (+2.5% in the last year). In 2022–2023, 1,290 households moved in and 1,053 moved out (+237 net), bringing in a net $27.2M of income. Median household income is $87,407, the median home $307,700 and median rent $1,293 a month.

Population (2025)34,413
5-year growth+11.3%
1-year growth+2.5%
Net households moving in+237
Per 1,000 residents+6.9
Net income moving in+$27.2M
Median household income$87,407
Median home value$307,700
Median rent$1,293/mo
Rent as share of income18%

In Virginia: 4th of 133 counties for 5-year population growth · 12th of 133 counties for net in-migration (per resident) · 34th of 133 counties for median household income · 52nd of 133 counties for median home value.

Where new residents came from

Top counties by households (tax returns) moving to Caroline County, 2022–2023 (IRS).

FromHouseholds (tax returns)Their income (AGI)
Spotsylvania County, VA297$19.3M
Stafford County, VA159$10.7M
Hanover County, VA71$4.2M
Fredericksburg city, VA65$3.9M
Henrico County, VA64$3.7M
Prince William County, VA58$5.3M
Chesterfield County, VA36$2.5M
Fairfax County, VA36$2.7M

Where leavers went

Top counties by households leaving Caroline County, 2022–2023 (IRS).

ToHouseholds (tax returns)Their income (AGI)
Spotsylvania County, VA189$12.1M
Stafford County, VA77$4.3M
Henrico County, VA75$3.2M
Hanover County, VA71$3.5M
Fredericksburg city, VA47$2.3M
Richmond city, VA41$1.2M
Chesterfield County, VA37$2.1M
King George County, VA24$1.0M

BizyFi in Caroline County

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Sources: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates (vintage 2025), American Community Survey 5-year (2024), and IRS Statistics of Income county-to-county migration data (2022–2023). Migration counts are tax returns (roughly households) moving between U.S. counties; the IRS suppresses very small flows. Growth rates, per-1,000 figures, rent share and state ranks are BizyFi calculations. Data updated 2026-10-17. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.